Difference between revisions of "Search odds condensed (results)"

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(search/success data added and some discussion/analysis)
(mountain swamp water ocean, added open issues.)
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===Notes===
 
===Notes===
 
Feel free to leave any analysis or thoughts, this initial data is from trial 1 of the [[Search Odds Condensed]]. There seems to be so far no noticable difference between the different jungle types, but this was made with limited data, 35 seperate search sets in different places leaving some holes in the data. Any data that was left with nothing found was left out this time, but will be used for the next set of results. Feel free to add to the data to be able to gleen more from the results. Trial 2 is on, which will combine all data, the form was changed to make it simpler to fill in data and to import.
 
Feel free to leave any analysis or thoughts, this initial data is from trial 1 of the [[Search Odds Condensed]]. There seems to be so far no noticable difference between the different jungle types, but this was made with limited data, 35 seperate search sets in different places leaving some holes in the data. Any data that was left with nothing found was left out this time, but will be used for the next set of results. Feel free to add to the data to be able to gleen more from the results. Trial 2 is on, which will combine all data, the form was changed to make it simpler to fill in data and to import.
 +
 +
===Open issues===
 +
# Are the odds different for differing jungle types? -- [[User: fitzcarraldo|fitzcarraldo]]|<sup>[[User talk:fitzcarraldo|T]]</sup> 11:16, 3 March 2006 (GMT)
 +
# Need to check mountain caves versus trails, otherwise they will all fall under mountains. -- [[User: fitzcarraldo|fitzcarraldo]]|<sup>[[User talk:fitzcarraldo|T]]</sup> 11:16, 3 March 2006 (GMT)
 +
# At this time data from being within huts are considered d0 resuls. As well eventual jungle squares with trees have not been broken out. need to break out. -- [[User: fitzcarraldo|fitzcarraldo]]|<sup>[[User talk:fitzcarraldo|T]]</sup> 11:16, 3 March 2006 (GMT)
 +
# Do results differ on d0 within village limits to d0 just outside?
 +
# If there is a tree on a jungle square, can those squares be cleared of jungle? does it have any effect on results? -- [[User: fitzcarraldo|fitzcarraldo]]|<sup>[[User talk:fitzcarraldo|T]]</sup> 11:16, 3 March 2006 (GMT)
  
 
===Analysis===
 
===Analysis===
 
Difficult to gleen much, other than at first glance it seems to illustrate a different rate in the jungle. D3 and d4 areas both had approximately 65 searches, with a ~20% success rate, while d9 with ~150 came out to ~10% success rate. With that said, d0 data had approximately 200 search events and did not show an increase in the find rate versus the d9 data. So, really, more data is needed.  
 
Difficult to gleen much, other than at first glance it seems to illustrate a different rate in the jungle. D3 and d4 areas both had approximately 65 searches, with a ~20% success rate, while d9 with ~150 came out to ~10% success rate. With that said, d0 data had approximately 200 search events and did not show an increase in the find rate versus the d9 data. So, really, more data is needed.  
  
==Beach==
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==Beach ............................................................................... Grassland==
searches / successes : 53/7<br clear="both" />
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searches / successes : 53/7 ............................................................................... 86/8<br clear="both" />
[[image:searchoddscondensed-results-beach.jpg|450px|beach]]
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[[image:searchoddscondensed-results-beach.jpg|450px|beach]][[image:searchoddscondensed-results-grassland.jpg|450px|grassland]]
 
 
 
 
==Grassland==
 
searches / successes : 86/8<br clear="both" />
 
[[image:searchoddscondensed-results-grassland.jpg|450px|grassland]]
 
  
  
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==Jungle d4==
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==Jungle d4 ............................................................................... d5==
searches / successes : 63/14<br clear="both" />
+
searches / successes : 63/14 ............................................................................... na<br clear="both" />
 
[[image:searchoddscondensed-results-d4.jpg|450px|d4]]
 
[[image:searchoddscondensed-results-d4.jpg|450px|d4]]
  
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searches / successes : 35/4 ............................................................................... 140/17<br clear="both" />
 
searches / successes : 35/4 ............................................................................... 140/17<br clear="both" />
 
[[image:searchoddscondensed-results-d8.jpg|450px|d8]][[image:searchoddscondensed-results-d9.jpg|450px|d9]]
 
[[image:searchoddscondensed-results-d8.jpg|450px|d8]][[image:searchoddscondensed-results-d9.jpg|450px|d9]]
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 +
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==Mountain ............................................................................... Swamp ==
 +
searches / successes : na ............................................................................... 4/0 ''NOTE: 3AP/search''<br clear="both" />
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==Water ..................................... Deep Water .......................................... Ocean ==
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searches / successes : na ..................................... na .......................................... na

Revision as of 11:16, 3 March 2006

Results are from Search Odds Condensed. Results are rounded to the nearest 1%.

Notes

Feel free to leave any analysis or thoughts, this initial data is from trial 1 of the Search Odds Condensed. There seems to be so far no noticable difference between the different jungle types, but this was made with limited data, 35 seperate search sets in different places leaving some holes in the data. Any data that was left with nothing found was left out this time, but will be used for the next set of results. Feel free to add to the data to be able to gleen more from the results. Trial 2 is on, which will combine all data, the form was changed to make it simpler to fill in data and to import.

Open issues

  1. Are the odds different for differing jungle types? -- fitzcarraldo|T 11:16, 3 March 2006 (GMT)
  2. Need to check mountain caves versus trails, otherwise they will all fall under mountains. -- fitzcarraldo|T 11:16, 3 March 2006 (GMT)
  3. At this time data from being within huts are considered d0 resuls. As well eventual jungle squares with trees have not been broken out. need to break out. -- fitzcarraldo|T 11:16, 3 March 2006 (GMT)
  4. Do results differ on d0 within village limits to d0 just outside?
  5. If there is a tree on a jungle square, can those squares be cleared of jungle? does it have any effect on results? -- fitzcarraldo|T 11:16, 3 March 2006 (GMT)

Analysis

Difficult to gleen much, other than at first glance it seems to illustrate a different rate in the jungle. D3 and d4 areas both had approximately 65 searches, with a ~20% success rate, while d9 with ~150 came out to ~10% success rate. With that said, d0 data had approximately 200 search events and did not show an increase in the find rate versus the d9 data. So, really, more data is needed.

Beach ............................................................................... Grassland

searches / successes : 53/7 ............................................................................... 86/8
beachgrassland


Jungle d0 ............................................................................... d1

searches / successes : 191/28 ............................................................................... 67/8
d0d1


Jungle d3

searches / successes : 77/18
d3


Jungle d4 ............................................................................... d5

searches / successes : 63/14 ............................................................................... na
d4


Jungle d6 ............................................................................... d7

searches / successes : 16/0 ............................................................................... 30/0


Jungle d8 ............................................................................... d9

searches / successes : 35/4 ............................................................................... 140/17
d8d9


Mountain ............................................................................... Swamp

searches / successes : na ............................................................................... 4/0 NOTE: 3AP/search

Water ..................................... Deep Water .......................................... Ocean

searches / successes : na ..................................... na .......................................... na